West Coast v Carlton
2024-08-18 16:40:00 +10:00
Perth Stadium

4.10

34

14.15

99

Carlton won by 65 points

IN

Edwards

Williams

Petruccelle

Maric

Trew

Hall

OUT

IN

Moir

Binns

Lord

Durdin

Williams

Young

Curnow

Saad

McKay

Fogarty

Boyd

Martin

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		60%	10 points	✓	55.3	0.26
Aggregate		63%	13 points	✓	52.2	0.34
		83%	22 points	✓	42.5	0.73
		79%	28 points	✓	37.0	0.67
		79%	27 points	✓	38.5	0.65
		77%	30 points	✓	35.0	0.63
		75%	35 points	✓	30.0	0.59
		73%	20 points	✓	45.2	0.55
		72%	23 points	✓	41.6	0.52
		72%	23 points	✓	41.7	0.52
		71%	19 points	✓	46.0	0.51
		66%	21 points	✓	44.0	0.39
		65%	15 points	✓	50.3	0.39
		64%	10 points	✓	55.0	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	51.0	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	54.0	0.33
		60%	10 points	✓	54.7	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	56.1	0.27
		59%	8 points	✓	57.0	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	57.3	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	58.1	0.22
		56%	6 points	✓	59.0	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	60.0	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	61.0	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	61.3	0.12
		53%	2 points	✓	62.7	0.08
		52%	2 points	✓	63.4	0.06
		52%	1 point	✓	63.7	0.04
		51%	1 point	✗	66.0	-0.04
Punters		55%	3 points	✗	68.4	-0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.