St Kilda v Geelong

Docklands
16.11
107
14.5
89

St Kilda won by 18 points

IN
Garcia
Webster
OUT
IN
Knevitt
Rohan
Tuohy
Bruhn
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Geelong
57% 6 points 24.3-0.21
Aggregate
Geelong
58% 7 points 24.9-0.24
Cheap Stats
Geelong
65% 15 points 33.0-0.51
Elo Predicts!
Geelong
65% 16 points 34.0-0.51
Don't Blame the Data
Geelong
65% 12 points 30.3-0.51
Hyperion
Geelong
64% 14 points 32.0-0.48
Stattraction
Geelong
62% 9 points 27.1-0.41
Punters
Geelong
62% 10 points 27.5-0.39
The Cruncher
Geelong
62% 9 points 26.6-0.39
Glicko Ratings
Geelong
61% 9 points 27.5-0.36
The Wooden Finger
Geelong
60% 8 points 26.0-0.32
FMI
Geelong
60% 13 points 31.0-0.31
Matter of Stats
Geelong
60% 9 points 26.5-0.31
What Snoo Thinks
Geelong
59% 7 points 25.1-0.28
Graft
Geelong
59% 11 points 29.0-0.28
Massey Ratings
Geelong
59% 7 points 24.5-0.27
Winnable
Geelong
58% 7 points 25.3-0.27
AFL Scorigami
Geelong
58% 6 points 23.6-0.25
Wheelo Ratings
Geelong
58% 6 points 24.2-0.23
footycharts
Geelong
57% 8 points 25.9-0.23
ZaphBot
Geelong
56% 6 points 24.0-0.18
Informed Stats
Geelong
56% 5 points 23.0-0.18
Squiggle
Geelong
56% 4 points 22.3-0.18
AFLalytics
Geelong
56% 5 points 22.7-0.18
The Footycast
Geelong
53% 3 points 21.4-0.10
AFL Lab
Geelong
53% 2 points 20.2-0.08
PlusSixOne
Geelong
52% 2 points 20.2-0.06
Live Ladders
St Kilda
51% 1 point 17.00.03
Data by Josh
St Kilda
53% 2 points 16.00.08
Drop Kick Data
St Kilda
56% 5 points 12.60.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 23, 2024