St Kilda v Geelong
Docklands
16.11
107
14.5
89
St Kilda won by 18 points
IN
Garcia
Webster
OUT
IN
Knevitt
Rohan
Tuohy
Bruhn
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.3 | -0.21 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 24.9 | -0.24 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.48 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 27.1 | -0.41 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 27.5 | -0.39 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 26.6 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 27.5 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 26.5 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.1 | -0.28 |
|
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 24.5 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.3 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 23.6 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.23 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 22.3 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 22.7 | -0.18 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.4 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 12.6 | 0.17 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.