Gold Coast v Melbourne

Carrara
9.9
63
18.9
117

Melbourne won by 54 points

IN
Rogers
Miller
Sexton
Budarick
OUT
IN
Bowey
Oliver
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Gold Coast
65% 14 points 67.9-0.51
Aggregate
Gold Coast
62% 11 points 65.3-0.40
Data by Josh
Gold Coast
78% 25 points 79.0-1.18
Matter of Stats
Gold Coast
72% 20 points 74.2-0.82
Live Ladders
Gold Coast
71% 18 points 72.0-0.80
AFLalytics
Gold Coast
70% 17 points 71.4-0.76
Drop Kick Data
Gold Coast
70% 19 points 72.5-0.75
Glicko Ratings
Gold Coast
70% 18 points 71.9-0.74
Punters
Gold Coast
70% 16 points 69.6-0.74
Winnable
Gold Coast
69% 17 points 71.0-0.69
The Cruncher
Gold Coast
68% 14 points 67.9-0.66
Wheelo Ratings
Gold Coast
68% 15 points 69.2-0.64
ZaphBot
Gold Coast
66% 17 points 71.0-0.56
AFL Lab
Gold Coast
64% 11 points 65.5-0.45
The Wooden Finger
Gold Coast
63% 13 points 67.0-0.43
footycharts
Gold Coast
62% 11 points 65.5-0.39
AFL Scorigami
Gold Coast
61% 8 points 62.0-0.37
Informed Stats
Gold Coast
60% 9 points 63.0-0.32
Squiggle
Gold Coast
60% 8 points 62.3-0.31
Stattraction
Gold Coast
59% 13 points 66.9-0.30
Graft
Gold Coast
59% 11 points 65.0-0.28
Cheap Stats
Gold Coast
58% 11 points 65.0-0.25
What Snoo Thinks
Gold Coast
57% 5 points 59.3-0.20
Elo Predicts!
Gold Coast
55% 8 points 62.0-0.14
FMI
Gold Coast
54% 5 points 59.0-0.11
Don't Blame the Data
Gold Coast
53% 2 points 55.9-0.10
Hyperion
Gold Coast
53% 3 points 57.0-0.09
The Footycast
Gold Coast
51% 1 point 55.3-0.04
Massey Ratings
Gold Coast
51% 1 point 54.5-0.01
PlusSixOne
Melbourne
51% 1 point 53.40.02

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 23, 2024