Gold Coast v Melbourne
Carrara
9.9
63
18.9
117
Melbourne won by 54 points
IN
Rogers
Miller
Sexton
Budarick
OUT
IN
Bowey
Oliver
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 67.9 | -0.51 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 65.3 | -0.40 |
|
|
78% | 25 points | ✗ | 79.0 | -1.18 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 74.2 | -0.82 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 72.0 | -0.80 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 71.4 | -0.76 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 72.5 | -0.75 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 71.9 | -0.74 |
|
Punters
|
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 69.6 | -0.74 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
68% | 14 points | ✗ | 67.9 | -0.66 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 69.2 | -0.64 |
|
|
66% | 17 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 65.5 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 65.5 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.37 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 62.3 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 13 points | ✗ | 66.9 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 59.3 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 8 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 55.9 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 55.3 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 54.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 53.4 | 0.02 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.