Port Adelaide v Adelaide
2024-08-17 19:30:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

11.14

80

8.10

58

Port Adelaide won by 22 points

IN

Burton

Marshall

OUT

IN

Gollant

Walker

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	16 points	✓	6.0	0.41
Aggregate		66%	15 points	✓	6.7	0.41
		78%	25 points	✓	3.0	0.64
		76%	25 points	✓	2.7	0.61
		75%	28 points	✓	5.8	0.58
		75%	23 points	✓	1.0	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	0.7	0.57
		74%	22 points	✓	0.1	0.56
		73%	20 points	✓	2.0	0.56
		73%	20 points	✓	1.9	0.55
		71%	20 points	✓	1.8	0.51
		70%	22 points	✓	0.0	0.49
		69%	18 points	✓	4.0	0.46
		69%	17 points	✓	4.8	0.46
		67%	14 points	✓	8.1	0.42
Punters		67%	14 points	✓	8.3	0.42
		67%	12 points	✓	10.5	0.41
		65%	13 points	✓	8.8	0.38
		64%	16 points	✓	6.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	9.9	0.35
		64%	14 points	✓	7.8	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	10.6	0.33
		61%	15 points	✓	7.0	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	13.0	0.26
		59%	11 points	✓	11.0	0.23
		58%	6 points	✓	16.0	0.22
		57%	4 points	✓	17.9	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	15.3	0.18
		54%	6 points	✓	16.0	0.12
		53%	3 points	✓	19.1	0.08

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.