Collingwood v Brisbane Lions

M.C.G.
11.13
79
11.12
78

Collingwood won by 1 point

IN
Parker
Richards
OUT
IN
Sharp
Hipwood
Prior
Smith
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Brisbane Lions
61% 10 points 11.3-0.36
Aggregate
Brisbane Lions
61% 10 points 11.4-0.38
Stattraction
Brisbane Lions
76% 24 points 25.5-1.06
What Snoo Thinks
Brisbane Lions
73% 20 points 21.1-0.92
Wheelo Ratings
Brisbane Lions
69% 16 points 17.3-0.69
Don't Blame the Data
Brisbane Lions
69% 20 points 21.0-0.68
footycharts
Brisbane Lions
68% 17 points 17.7-0.63
Squiggle
Brisbane Lions
67% 17 points 17.7-0.62
The Wooden Finger
Brisbane Lions
67% 15 points 16.0-0.60
The Cruncher
Brisbane Lions
67% 13 points 14.0-0.59
Cheap Stats
Brisbane Lions
66% 16 points 17.0-0.56
Drop Kick Data
Brisbane Lions
63% 12 points 12.8-0.45
Informed Stats
Brisbane Lions
63% 14 points 15.0-0.43
Data by Josh
Brisbane Lions
63% 11 points 12.0-0.43
Winnable
Brisbane Lions
62% 10 points 11.1-0.38
AFL Scorigami
Brisbane Lions
62% 8 points 8.9-0.38
Punters
Brisbane Lions
62% 11 points 11.9-0.38
AFL Lab
Brisbane Lions
62% 10 points 11.4-0.38
Matter of Stats
Brisbane Lions
61% 10 points 10.9-0.37
Live Ladders
Brisbane Lions
61% 9 points 10.0-0.35
Massey Ratings
Brisbane Lions
61% 9 points 9.5-0.34
Glicko Ratings
Brisbane Lions
60% 8 points 9.2-0.31
ZaphBot
Brisbane Lions
58% 8 points 9.0-0.25
Graft
Brisbane Lions
57% 9 points 10.0-0.20
AFLalytics
Brisbane Lions
55% 4 points 4.9-0.14
Elo Predicts!
Brisbane Lions
53% 1 point 2.0-0.10
FMI
Brisbane Lions
52% 3 points 4.0-0.06
The Footycast
Brisbane Lions
51% 1 point 2.1-0.03
PlusSixOne
Collingwood
52% 2 points 0.70.05
Hyperion
Collingwood
52% 2 points 1.00.07

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 23, 2024