Essendon v Sydney
Docklands
8.11
59
15.8
98
Sydney won by 39 points
IN
Roberts
Weideman
Perkins
Stringer
Cox
Davey Jnr
OUT
IN
Warner
Melican
Adams
Warner
McLean
Fox
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 35.8 | 0.08 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 34.1 | 0.15 |
|
|
68% | 4 points | ✓ | 35.2 | 0.44 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 23.5 | 0.43 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.42 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.38 |
|
|
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.37 |
|
|
64% | 19 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.33 |
|
|
62% | 7 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.31 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 30.4 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 31.4 | 0.24 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 33.8 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 34.9 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 37.4 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 36.5 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 36.2 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 37.2 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 37.4 | 0.05 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✓ | 37.1 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 39.9 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 40.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 41.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 41.5 | -0.09 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 45.2 | -0.22 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.29 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.