Greater Western Sydney v Fremantle
2024-08-17 13:45:00 +10:00
Sydney Showground

15.11

101

14.8

92

Greater Western Sydney won by 9 points

IN

McMullin

Coniglio

Briggs

O'Halloran

Thomas

Gruzewski

OUT

IN

Reidy

O'Driscoll

Taberner

Worner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		68%	17 points	✓	8.2	0.44
Aggregate		65%	13 points	✓	4.5	0.38
		78%	25 points	✓	16.4	0.64
		78%	22 points	✓	12.9	0.63
		77%	27 points	✓	17.6	0.63
		74%	22 points	✓	12.5	0.57
		73%	16 points	✓	6.5	0.55
Punters		72%	17 points	✓	7.8	0.53
		71%	19 points	✓	9.6	0.50
		70%	18 points	✓	9.0	0.49
		69%	18 points	✓	9.0	0.46
		66%	15 points	✓	5.7	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	4.0	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	4.8	0.39
		65%	19 points	✓	10.0	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	5.0	0.38
		65%	12 points	✓	3.3	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	2.5	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	3.0	0.36
		63%	13 points	✓	4.0	0.32
		62%	11 points	✓	1.7	0.31
		62%	15 points	✓	6.0	0.30
		62%	8 points	✓	1.5	0.30
		60%	10 points	✓	1.0	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	1.0	0.26
		59%	13 points	✓	4.0	0.24
		55%	4 points	✓	5.5	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	4.9	0.11
		51%	-3 points	✓	12.2	0.02
		50%	2 points	✓	6.9	0.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.