Western Bulldogs v North Melbourne
2024-08-18 13:10:00 +10:00
Docklands

20.18

138

6.6

42

Western Bulldogs won by 96 points

IN

Gallagher

Freijah

O'Donnell

Darcy

Macrae

English

Poulter

Garcia

Khamis

Coffield

OUT

IN

Dawson

Stephens

Fisher

Wardlaw

Sheezel

Phillips

Ford

Duursma

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		91%	50 points	✓	46.4	0.86
Aggregate		90%	49 points	✓	47.4	0.85
		97%	60 points	✓	35.6	0.95
		97%	67 points	✓	28.7	0.95
		96%	57 points	✓	39.0	0.94
		96%	55 points	✓	40.5	0.94
		95%	74 points	✓	22.3	0.93
		95%	54 points	✓	42.0	0.93
		95%	58 points	✓	38.1	0.92
		94%	52 points	✓	44.0	0.91
		94%	50 points	✓	46.4	0.91
		93%	45 points	✓	50.6	0.89
		93%	49 points	✓	47.5	0.89
		92%	48 points	✓	48.5	0.89
		92%	50 points	✓	45.6	0.88
		91%	50 points	✓	45.5	0.86
		91%	49 points	✓	47.0	0.86
		91%	52 points	✓	44.0	0.86
		91%	48 points	✓	47.8	0.86
Punters		91%	47 points	✓	49.4	0.86
		90%	48 points	✓	48.1	0.85
		90%	48 points	✓	48.0	0.85
		89%	44 points	✓	52.0	0.84
		89%	40 points	✓	56.0	0.83
		83%	48 points	✓	48.0	0.73
		83%	47 points	✓	49.0	0.73
		83%	40 points	✓	56.1	0.73
		82%	36 points	✓	60.0	0.71
		81%	22 points	✓	74.0	0.70
		72%	24 points	✓	72.1	0.53

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.