Hawthorn v Richmond @ M.C.G.

19.17

131

10.8

Hawthorn won by 63 points

Blight

Coulthard

Bauer

Ross

Koschitzke

Dow

Ryan

Smith

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	86%	40 points	✓	23.1	0.78
Aggregate	86%	39 points	✓	24.4	0.78
	95%	45 points	✓	18.0	0.93
	94%	56 points	✓	7.0	0.91
	92%	40 points	✓	23.2	0.88
Punters	92%	46 points	✓	17.2	0.88
	91%	44 points	✓	19.0	0.86
	90%	50 points	✓	13.0	0.85
	90%	42 points	✓	21.0	0.85
	90%	39 points	✓	24.5	0.84
	89%	36 points	✓	26.7	0.83
	89%	31 points	✓	31.8	0.83
	88%	47 points	✓	16.0	0.82
	88%	37 points	✓	25.5	0.81
	87%	42 points	✓	21.2	0.81
	87%	41 points	✓	22.0	0.80
	87%	53 points	✓	10.0	0.79
	86%	35 points	✓	28.0	0.78
	85%	36 points	✓	26.5	0.77
	85%	37 points	✓	25.7	0.76
	84%	35 points	✓	28.2	0.75
	84%	29 points	✓	34.0	0.75
	84%	41 points	✓	21.9	0.74
	83%	34 points	✓	29.2	0.73
	83%	39 points	✓	23.7	0.73
	82%	31 points	✓	32.0	0.71
	81%	29 points	✓	34.3	0.70
	81%	31 points	✓	31.8	0.69
	76%	35 points	✓	28.0	0.59
	67%	18 points	✓	45.0	0.43

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.