Western Bulldogs v Essendon
Docklands
12.12
84
15.7
97
Essendon won by 13 points
IN
Richards
Duryea
Treloar
Hannan
Smith
Weightman
OUT
IN
Waterman
Gleeson
Guelfi
Langford
Heppell
Perkins
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
73% | 23 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -0.88 |
|
|
80% | 33 points | ✗ | 45.7 | -1.30 |
|
|
79% | 27 points | ✗ | 39.8 | -1.23 |
|
Punters
|
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 39.5 | -1.18 |
|
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 39.6 | -1.16 |
|
|
77% | 23 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -1.09 |
|
|
76% | 29 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 35.7 | -1.04 |
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 32.8 | -0.88 |
|
s10
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 34.6 | -0.87 |
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.87 |
|
|
71% | 25 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
69% | 25 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
68% | 18 points | ✗ | 31.1 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.58 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 30.1 | -0.58 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.