St Kilda v Sydney
Docklands
14.9
93
10.4
64
St Kilda won by 29 points
IN
Sharman
Joyce
McKenzie
Coffield
Sinclair
Howard
Billings
Clark
Long
Hunter
OUT
IN
Stephens
Rowbottom
Mills
Bell
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 38.8 | -0.33 |
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.90 |
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 49.2 | -0.88 |
|
Punters
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 47.3 | -0.75 |
|
|
69% | 19 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 43.7 | -0.54 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 38.1 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 37.8 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 37.2 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 37.5 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.26 |
|
s10
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 36.6 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 35.9 | -0.26 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 32.3 | -0.10 |
|
|
52% | 9 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 23.7 | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.