Fremantle v Brisbane Lions
2021-08-08 17:10:00
Perth Stadium

8.6

54

18.10

118

Brisbane Lions won by 64 points

IN

Pearce

Blakely

Banfield

Watson

OUT

IN

Prior

Mathieson

Coleman

Neale

Payne

Madden

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		61%	10 points	✓	53.5	0.30
		70%	20 points	✓	44.4	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	47.5	0.48
		67%	14 points	✓	50.0	0.43
		66%	14 points	✓	50.0	0.41
		66%	16 points	✓	48.0	0.40
		66%	13 points	✓	50.7	0.39
Punters		63%	11 points	✓	52.7	0.34
		62%	15 points	✓	49.0	0.31
		62%	11 points	✓	53.0	0.31
s10		62%	10 points	✓	53.5	0.31
		60%	10 points	✓	54.0	0.26
		59%	8 points	✓	55.7	0.25
		59%	7 points	✓	56.6	0.25
		55%	5 points	✓	58.6	0.15
		55%	3 points	✓	60.6	0.13
		54%	3 points	✓	60.6	0.11
		52%	1 point	✗	65.3	-0.05

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.