Richmond v North Melbourne
M.C.G.
13.11
89
8.8
56
Richmond won by 33 points
IN
Rioli
Dow
Ralphsmith
Coleman-Jones
Vlastuin
Aarts
Castagna
Chol
Ross
Garthwaite
OUT
IN
Campbell
Bonar
Zurhaar
Thomas
Polec
Phillips
Bosenavulagi
Xerri
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
68% | 18 points | ✓ | 15.1 | 0.45 | |
80% | 27 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.67 | ||
79% | 24 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.65 | ||
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.58 | ||
74% | 26 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.57 | ||
72% | 24 points | ✓ | 9.4 | 0.53 | ||
s10
|
71% | 20 points | ✓ | 13.4 | 0.51 | |
70% | 26 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 16.3 | 0.47 | ||
69% | 19 points | ✓ | 14.4 | 0.47 | ||
69% | 19 points | ✓ | 14.4 | 0.46 | ||
67% | 21 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.42 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 20.1 | 0.41 | ||
Punters
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 19.5 | 0.38 | |
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 20.6 | 0.34 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.34 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 25.4 | 0.25 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.10 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.