Carlton v Gold Coast
Docklands
8.9
57
11.10
76
Gold Coast won by 19 points
IN
Betts
Owies
OUT
IN
Townsend
Ellis
Bowes
Flanders
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 36.9 | -0.67 |
|
|
77% | 24 points | ✗ | 43.2 | -1.13 |
|
|
77% | 23 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -1.11 |
|
|
76% | 29 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.06 |
|
Punters
|
|
74% | 23 points | ✗ | 41.5 | -0.95 |
|
|
70% | 24 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.72 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.70 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.68 |
|
s10
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 35.4 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 34.1 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 36.2 | -0.62 |
|
|
66% | 22 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 32.1 | -0.48 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 28.5 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 31.3 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 29.2 | -0.37 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.