Geelong v Greater Western Sydney
Kardinia Park
8.17
65
13.6
84
Greater Western Sydney won by 19 points
IN
Holmes
Clark
Smith
Narkle
OUT
IN
Brown
Buntine
Stein
Briggs
Sproule
Riccardi
Bruhn
de Boer
Kelly
Hopper
Mumford
Lloyd
Green
Davis
Reid
Hogan
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
81% | 33 points | ✗ | 51.8 | -1.42 |
|
|
91% | 48 points | ✗ | 66.7 | -2.48 |
|
|
88% | 42 points | ✗ | 60.5 | -2.09 |
|
Punters
|
|
87% | 39 points | ✗ | 57.9 | -1.97 |
|
|
87% | 44 points | ✗ | 62.7 | -1.91 |
|
|
85% | 39 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -1.74 |
|
|
84% | 34 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -1.66 |
|
|
84% | 33 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -1.63 |
|
|
82% | 29 points | ✗ | 48.5 | -1.47 |
|
s10
|
|
82% | 32 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -1.44 |
|
|
82% | 25 points | ✗ | 43.5 | -1.43 |
|
|
79% | 27 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -1.25 |
|
|
78% | 32 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -1.18 |
|
|
77% | 26 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -1.14 |
|
|
77% | 24 points | ✗ | 43.3 | -1.09 |
|
|
76% | 36 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
72% | 24 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.85 |
|
|
72% | 23 points | ✗ | 42.4 | -0.84 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.