Hawthorn v Collingwood
M.C.G.
15.7
97
12.6
78
Hawthorn won by 19 points
IN
Koschitzke
Hanrahan
Morrison
Ceglar
Breust
Reeves
Brockman
Grainger-Barras
OUT
IN
McCreery
Bianco
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 27.3 | -0.29 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.71 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 33.6 | -0.54 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.4 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 28.2 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 26.7 | -0.29 |
|
s10
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 26.7 | -0.29 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 26.5 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.8 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 23.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 23.8 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.2 | -0.12 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.