Adelaide v Port Adelaide
Adelaide Oval
7.9
51
7.13
55
Port Adelaide won by 4 points
IN
Cook
Thilthorpe
Mackay
Walker
Rowe
Berry
OUT
IN
Gray
Marshall
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
78% | 29 points | ✓ | 24.5 | 0.64 | |
Punters
|
87% | 38 points | ✓ | 33.7 | 0.80 | |
87% | 38 points | ✓ | 34.2 | 0.79 | ||
86% | 37 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.78 | ||
83% | 35 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.73 | ||
82% | 31 points | ✓ | 26.6 | 0.70 | ||
81% | 29 points | ✓ | 25.4 | 0.70 | ||
80% | 33 points | ✓ | 28.8 | 0.67 | ||
80% | 29 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.67 | ||
78% | 23 points | ✓ | 18.9 | 0.64 | ||
s10
|
78% | 27 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.64 | |
78% | 25 points | ✓ | 20.5 | 0.63 | ||
75% | 35 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.58 | ||
74% | 24 points | ✓ | 19.9 | 0.57 | ||
73% | 21 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.55 | ||
70% | 21 points | ✓ | 16.6 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 20 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.46 | ||
68% | 19 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.44 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.