Fremantle v Hawthorn
Perth Stadium
13.18
96
12.9
81
Fremantle won by 15 points
IN
Treacy
Watson
Sturt
Fyfe
Switkowski
Schultz
Young
Giro
OUT
IN
Hartley
O'Brien
Burgoyne
Koschitzke
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.24 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.38 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 4.4 | 0.33 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.32 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 5.1 | 0.30 |
|
|
61% | 13 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✓ | 3.3 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.6 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✓ | 2.9 | 0.26 |
|
|
60% | 6 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.21 |
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.9 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 8.2 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 8.8 | 0.18 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 17.4 | -0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.