Fremantle v Hawthorn

Perth Stadium
13.18
96
12.9
81

Fremantle won by 15 points

IN
Treacy
Watson
Sturt
Fyfe
Switkowski
Schultz
Young
Giro
OUT
IN
Hartley
O'Brien
Burgoyne
Koschitzke
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Fremantle
59% 9 points 6.50.24
The Flag
Fremantle
65% 12 points 3.00.38
Matter of Stats
Fremantle
63% 11 points 4.40.33
Punters
Fremantle
62% 11 points 4.50.32
AFLalytics
Fremantle
61% 10 points 5.10.30
Cheap Stats
Fremantle
61% 13 points 2.00.29
The Cruncher
Fremantle
60% 12 points 3.30.27
Glicko Ratings
Fremantle
60% 8 points 6.60.27
Squiggle
Fremantle
60% 12 points 2.90.26
Massey Ratings
Fremantle
60% 6 points 9.50.25
Graft
Fremantle
59% 8 points 7.00.24
Live Ladders
Fremantle
59% 7 points 8.00.23
ZaphBot
Fremantle
58% 8 points 7.00.21
s10
Fremantle
58% 7 points 7.90.21
Footy Maths Institute
Fremantle
57% 9 points 6.00.19
PlusSixOne
Fremantle
57% 7 points 8.20.18
AFL Lab
Fremantle
57% 6 points 8.80.18
Stattraction
Hawthorn
53% 2 points 17.4-0.08

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2021