Melbourne v Geelong
M.C.G.
12.13
85
9.6
60
Melbourne won by 25 points
IN
Melksham
Sparrow
OUT
IN
Guthrie
Close
Narkle
Menegola
Higgins
Parfitt
Holmes
Evans
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 24.9 | 0.02 | |
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.36 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 8 points | ✓ | 17.5 | 0.30 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 14.8 | 0.29 | ||
60% | 12 points | ✓ | 13.2 | 0.25 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 21.3 | 0.12 | ||
s10
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 22.2 | 0.09 | |
Punters
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 22.6 | 0.07 | |
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 25.6 | -0.02 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.06 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 28.4 | -0.09 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 29.4 | -0.14 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 29.5 | -0.17 | ||
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.25 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.29 | ||
61% | 15 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.36 | ||
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.40 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.