Melbourne v Geelong

M.C.G.
12.13
85
9.6
60

Melbourne won by 25 points

IN
Melksham
Sparrow
OUT
IN
Guthrie
Close
Narkle
Menegola
Higgins
Parfitt
Holmes
Evans
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
51% 0 points 24.90.02
The Flag
Melbourne
64% 12 points 13.00.36
Live Ladders
Melbourne
63% 11 points 14.00.33
Massey Ratings
Melbourne
62% 8 points 17.50.30
AFLalytics
Melbourne
61% 10 points 14.80.29
Squiggle
Melbourne
60% 12 points 13.20.25
Matter of Stats
Melbourne
54% 4 points 21.30.12
s10
Melbourne
53% 3 points 22.20.09
Punters
Melbourne
53% 2 points 22.60.07
PlusSixOne
Geelong
51% 1 point 25.6-0.02
Graft
Geelong
52% 2 points 27.0-0.06
The Cruncher
Geelong
53% 3 points 28.4-0.09
AFL Lab
Geelong
55% 4 points 29.4-0.14
Glicko Ratings
Geelong
56% 5 points 29.5-0.17
Cheap Stats
Geelong
58% 10 points 35.0-0.25
ZaphBot
Geelong
59% 9 points 34.0-0.29
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
61% 15 points 40.0-0.36
Stattraction
Geelong
62% 12 points 37.0-0.40

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2021