Port Adelaide v Richmond

Adelaide Oval
11.13
79
11.11
77

Port Adelaide won by 2 points

IN
Jones
Marshall
OUT
IN
Mansell
Martyn
Ross
Houli
Prestia
McIntosh
Caddy
Eggmolesse-Smith
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Port Adelaide
58% 8 points 6.10.22
The Flag
Port Adelaide
68% 15 points 13.00.43
Matter of Stats
Port Adelaide
66% 13 points 11.40.39
Stattraction
Port Adelaide
65% 16 points 13.70.39
AFLalytics
Port Adelaide
63% 12 points 9.70.33
Graft
Port Adelaide
62% 11 points 9.00.31
PlusSixOne
Port Adelaide
62% 12 points 10.10.31
Punters
Port Adelaide
61% 10 points 8.30.30
ZaphBot
Port Adelaide
61% 11 points 9.00.29
Massey Ratings
Port Adelaide
61% 7 points 4.50.28
Cheap Stats
Port Adelaide
59% 11 points 9.00.24
s10
Port Adelaide
59% 8 points 6.20.24
The Cruncher
Port Adelaide
56% 7 points 5.00.17
Footy Maths Institute
Port Adelaide
53% 5 points 3.00.08
Squiggle
Port Adelaide
51% 3 points 0.60.03
Live Ladders
Port Adelaide
51% 1 point 1.00.03
AFL Lab
Richmond
50% 0 points 2.3-0.01
Glicko Ratings
Richmond
55% 4 points 5.8-0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2021