Port Adelaide v Richmond
Adelaide Oval
11.13
79
11.11
77
Port Adelaide won by 2 points
IN
Jones
Marshall
OUT
IN
Mansell
Martyn
Ross
Houli
Prestia
McIntosh
Caddy
Eggmolesse-Smith
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.22 | |
68% | 15 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.43 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 11.4 | 0.39 | ||
65% | 16 points | ✓ | 13.7 | 0.39 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 9.7 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.31 | ||
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 10.1 | 0.31 | ||
Punters
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.3 | 0.30 | |
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.28 | ||
59% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.24 | ||
s10
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.2 | 0.24 | |
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.17 | ||
53% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.08 | ||
51% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.03 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.03 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 2.3 | -0.01 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.8 | -0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.