St Kilda v West Coast
Docklands
15.12
102
13.4
82
St Kilda won by 20 points
IN
Bytel
Webster
Marshall
Gresham
Wood
McKernan
OUT
IN
Waterman
Shuey
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 25.7 | -0.19 |
|
|
73% | 27 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.89 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.67 |
|
|
65% | 16 points | ✗ | 36.2 | -0.52 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 29.8 | -0.39 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 27.5 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 24.5 | -0.16 |
|
s10
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.1 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.4 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.7 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.7 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 21.7 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 19.6 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.5 | 0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.