Sydney v Essendon
2021-04-08 19:20:00
S.C.G.

11.17

83

12.8

80

Sydney won by 3 points

IN

Franklin

McLean

OUT

IN

Heppell

Redman

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		69%	18 points	✓	15.4	0.46
		79%	28 points	✓	24.6	0.67
Punters		79%	28 points	✓	24.7	0.66
		76%	24 points	✓	21.0	0.61
		75%	24 points	✓	20.9	0.58
		74%	20 points	✓	17.5	0.56
		72%	25 points	✓	22.0	0.53
		71%	16 points	✓	12.5	0.50
		69%	23 points	✓	20.3	0.46
		68%	24 points	✓	21.0	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	11.0	0.43
s10		67%	16 points	✓	13.5	0.43
		66%	17 points	✓	14.0	0.40
		64%	15 points	✓	11.6	0.36
		62%	12 points	✓	9.0	0.31
		61%	11 points	✓	7.7	0.29
		58%	9 points	✓	5.7	0.22
		56%	7 points	✓	3.8	0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.