Gold Coast v Carlton
Carrara
8.11
59
9.16
70
Carlton won by 11 points
IN
Graham
Holman
Witts
Brodie
OUT
IN
Setterfield
Williams
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.9 | -0.04 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 15.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 17.8 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 15.9 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 17.1 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 14.2 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.09 |
|
s10
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 13.1 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.9 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 8.8 | 0.02 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.04 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 9.3 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 3.4 | 0.25 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.