Gold Coast v Carlton

Carrara
8.11
59
9.16
70

Carlton won by 11 points

IN
Graham
Holman
Witts
Brodie
OUT
IN
Setterfield
Williams
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Gold Coast
51% 1 point 11.9-0.04
Massey Ratings
Gold Coast
58% 5 points 15.5-0.23
PlusSixOne
Gold Coast
57% 7 points 17.8-0.21
AFLalytics
Gold Coast
56% 5 points 15.9-0.18
The Cruncher
Gold Coast
55% 6 points 17.1-0.17
ZaphBot
Gold Coast
54% 4 points 15.0-0.12
Matter of Stats
Gold Coast
54% 3 points 14.2-0.12
Live Ladders
Gold Coast
53% 2 points 13.0-0.09
s10
Gold Coast
53% 2 points 13.1-0.09
Cheap Stats
Gold Coast
52% 2 points 13.0-0.06
Graft
Gold Coast
51% 0 points 11.0-0.03
Stattraction
Gold Coast
51% 1 point 11.9-0.03
Squiggle
Carlton
51% 2 points 8.80.02
AFL Lab
Carlton
52% 1 point 9.60.04
Punters
Carlton
52% 2 points 9.30.05
Footy Maths Institute
Carlton
52% 3 points 8.00.06
The Flag
Carlton
55% 4 points 7.00.15
Glicko Ratings
Carlton
59% 8 points 3.40.25

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2021