Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Lions
Eureka Stadium
10.13
73
8.6
54
Western Bulldogs won by 19 points
IN
Young
Gardner
OUT
IN
Gardiner
Berry
McInerney
Ah Chee
Payne
Ballenden
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 7.9 | 0.30 | |
71% | 18 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.50 | ||
70% | 18 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.48 | ||
70% | 15 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.48 | ||
69% | 21 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.46 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.40 | ||
Punters
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.38 | |
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.38 | ||
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.36 | ||
s10
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.4 | 0.33 | |
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.31 | ||
59% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.3 | 0.25 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.22 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 13.8 | 0.15 | ||
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 14.5 | 0.12 | ||
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.11 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 17.6 | 0.05 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 18.7 | 0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.