North Melbourne v Adelaide
2021-04-11 13:10:00
Docklands

10.8

68

16.13

109

Adelaide won by 41 points

IN

Campbell

Hayden

Bonar

McDonald

Anderson

Polec

Walker

Young

OUT

IN

Fogarty

Sloane

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		61%	11 points	✓	30.3	0.28
		76%	34 points	✓	7.3	0.61
		71%	19 points	✓	22.4	0.51
		68%	18 points	✓	23.4	0.45
Punters		66%	15 points	✓	26.4	0.39
		64%	11 points	✓	29.7	0.35
		64%	12 points	✓	29.0	0.35
		63%	15 points	✓	26.0	0.33
s10		63%	13 points	✓	28.1	0.33
		62%	10 points	✓	31.5	0.30
		61%	12 points	✓	29.0	0.29
		60%	12 points	✓	29.1	0.27
		58%	7 points	✓	34.0	0.22
		57%	7 points	✓	34.1	0.20
		56%	6 points	✓	35.0	0.16
		52%	2 points	✓	39.2	0.04
		50%	0 points	✗	41.2	-0.01
		55%	6 points	✗	47.0	-0.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.