Port Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney
Adelaide Oval
9.9
63
10.15
75
Greater Western Sydney won by 12 points
IN
Ramm
Lorenz
Evans
Zerk-Thatcher
OUT
IN
Delana
Briggs
Callaghan
Stone
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 9.2 | 0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.04 |
|
|
72% | 15 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.53 |
|
|
70% | 16 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.49 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.38 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.4 | 0.22 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.22 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 6.9 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 3 points | ✓ | 8.6 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 3 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 8.3 | 0.13 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 11.4 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 11.4 | 0.02 |
|
Punters
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 12.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 13.3 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.04 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 14.5 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 13.6 | -0.10 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 17.4 | -0.11 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 15.7 | -0.14 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 16.3 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 16.9 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 20.4 | -0.32 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 21.3 | -0.34 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.