Carlton v Brisbane Lions
2026-08-01 19:40:00 +10:00
Docklands

24.10

154

11.12

78

Carlton won by 76 points

IN

McKay

Newman

OUT

IN

Coleman

Allen

Reville

Zorko

Gallop

Tunstill

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	17 points	✗	93.3	-0.76
Aggregate		67%	15 points	✗	91.0	-0.58
		80%	26 points	✗	102.3	-1.33
		78%	21 points	✗	96.6	-1.21
		76%	21 points	✗	96.5	-1.09
		74%	23 points	✗	99.0	-0.94
Punters		74%	23 points	✗	98.7	-0.93
		74%	20 points	✗	95.5	-0.92
		72%	19 points	✗	95.0	-0.85
		70%	16 points	✗	92.0	-0.75
		70%	18 points	✗	94.2	-0.75
		69%	20 points	✗	96.0	-0.69
		69%	21 points	✗	97.0	-0.69
		69%	14 points	✗	90.4	-0.68
		68%	17 points	✗	92.8	-0.65
		68%	15 points	✗	91.1	-0.64
		67%	12 points	✗	88.1	-0.61
		67%	15 points	✗	91.0	-0.60
		67%	13 points	✗	89.3	-0.59
		65%	16 points	✗	92.0	-0.51
		65%	12 points	✗	88.4	-0.50
		64%	12 points	✗	88.2	-0.49
		64%	13 points	✗	89.0	-0.48
		64%	14 points	✗	90.4	-0.46
		63%	11 points	✗	87.0	-0.42
		62%	11 points	✗	86.6	-0.38
		61%	15 points	✗	91.0	-0.37
		60%	9 points	✗	84.5	-0.32
		58%	13 points	✗	88.8	-0.26
		52%	2 points	✗	78.0	-0.06
		58%	6 points	✓	69.7	0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.