Collingwood v Geelong
2026-07-30 19:30:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

10.12

72

15.7

97

Geelong won by 25 points

IN

Schultz

Maynard

OUT

IN

Martin

Dangerfield

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		51%	0 points	✓	24.6	0.02
Aggregate		54%	4 points	✓	21.3	0.11
		74%	22 points	✓	3.4	0.56
		65%	13 points	✓	12.0	0.38
		65%	12 points	✓	12.9	0.37
		61%	7 points	✓	17.8	0.28
		60%	14 points	✓	11.0	0.27
		60%	8 points	✓	17.0	0.27
		59%	7 points	✓	17.9	0.23
		59%	7 points	✓	18.1	0.23
		58%	5 points	✓	20.0	0.22
		57%	5 points	✓	20.5	0.18
		56%	5 points	✓	19.6	0.17
		55%	6 points	✓	19.4	0.15
		54%	4 points	✓	21.0	0.11
		54%	3 points	✓	22.4	0.11
Punters		54%	3 points	✓	21.6	0.10
		54%	3 points	✓	22.4	0.10
		52%	2 points	✓	23.4	0.07
		52%	3 points	✓	21.9	0.06
		52%	3 points	✓	22.0	0.06
		50%	0 points	✗	25.0	0.00
		51%	1 point	✗	25.9	-0.03
		52%	1 point	✗	26.4	-0.05
		53%	2 points	✗	26.7	-0.08
		53%	3 points	✗	27.6	-0.09
		53%	3 points	✗	28.0	-0.10
		57%	5 points	✗	29.7	-0.22
		59%	6 points	✗	31.0	-0.28
		60%	7 points	✗	32.2	-0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.