Gold Coast v Melbourne
Carrara
16.9
105
18.6
114
Melbourne won by 9 points
IN
Rogers
Read
Uwland
Lewis
OUT
IN
Jiath
Windsor
Salem
Chandler
Pickett
Cooke
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.08 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.13 |
|
|
74% | 17 points | ✓ | 7.9 | 0.57 |
|
|
72% | 17 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.52 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✓ | 10.4 | 0.49 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 0.2 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.22 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 3.3 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 4.2 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 5.4 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 6.3 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 6.3 | 0.11 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 7.9 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.06 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
56% | 1 point | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 14.4 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.