Hawthorn v North Melbourne
2026-08-01 13:35:00 +10:00
York Park

14.15

99

12.11

83

Hawthorn won by 16 points

IN

Schubert

Maginness

Lewis

Mraz

OUT

IN

Dawson

Blamires

Harvey

Whitlock

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		91%	43 points	✓	26.6	0.86
Aggregate		86%	38 points	✓	22.4	0.78
		95%	56 points	✓	40.0	0.93
		95%	44 points	✓	28.0	0.93
		95%	58 points	✓	42.4	0.92
		94%	42 points	✓	25.7	0.91
		94%	43 points	✓	27.0	0.90
		93%	41 points	✓	25.5	0.90
		93%	45 points	✓	28.7	0.89
		93%	44 points	✓	27.5	0.89
		91%	46 points	✓	29.8	0.86
		90%	43 points	✓	26.7	0.85
Punters		90%	41 points	✓	25.3	0.84
		89%	40 points	✓	23.7	0.82
		88%	34 points	✓	18.2	0.81
		88%	42 points	✓	25.6	0.81
		87%	36 points	✓	19.9	0.80
		87%	35 points	✓	19.4	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	22.9	0.78
		85%	39 points	✓	23.0	0.77
		84%	36 points	✓	20.0	0.75
		84%	29 points	✓	13.0	0.74
		84%	32 points	✓	16.0	0.74
		82%	34 points	✓	17.9	0.72
		81%	32 points	✓	15.6	0.70
		81%	36 points	✓	20.0	0.70
		79%	40 points	✓	24.0	0.66
		79%	33 points	✓	17.1	0.66
		75%	28 points	✓	12.1	0.58
		72%	20 points	✓	4.0	0.53
		67%	26 points	✓	10.5	0.42

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.