St Kilda v Sydney
2026-08-01 13:05:00 +10:00
Docklands

13.10

88

16.11

107

Sydney won by 19 points

IN

Lake

Marshall

Butler

King

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		61%	9 points	✓	10.1	0.28
Aggregate		58%	7 points	✓	11.8	0.22
		74%	20 points	✓	0.8	0.56
		67%	11 points	✓	7.8	0.42
		67%	11 points	✓	7.9	0.42
		65%	13 points	✓	5.6	0.38
		65%	13 points	✓	6.0	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	7.3	0.36
		64%	16 points	✓	3.0	0.36
		64%	15 points	✓	4.0	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	8.0	0.34
Punters		61%	11 points	✓	7.7	0.30
		61%	10 points	✓	9.3	0.28
		60%	10 points	✓	9.0	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	11.0	0.26
		59%	9 points	✓	10.3	0.25
		59%	7 points	✓	11.8	0.23
		59%	7 points	✓	12.5	0.23
		57%	6 points	✓	13.0	0.19
		57%	5 points	✓	14.3	0.19
		56%	4 points	✓	14.6	0.17
		55%	4 points	✓	15.1	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	15.0	0.13
		54%	5 points	✓	14.0	0.11
		53%	4 points	✓	15.5	0.09
		52%	0 points	✓	18.7	0.05
		51%	2 points	✓	17.0	0.04
		50%	0 points	✓	18.7	0.01
		50%	0 points	✓	18.9	0.00
		54%	4 points	✗	23.0	-0.11
		57%	6 points	✗	25.0	-0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.