Richmond v West Coast
M.C.G.
12.12
84
9.19
73
Richmond won by 11 points
IN
Ryan
Miller
Mansell
Peucker
OUT
IN
Duff-Tytler
Graham
Davis
Francou
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 10.9 | 0.01 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.7 | -0.02 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 21.4 | -0.42 |
|
|
63% | 7 points | ✗ | 18.2 | -0.42 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 19.6 | -0.34 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 14.4 | -0.13 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 14.9 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 13.4 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.6 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 12.2 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.7 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 11.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 9.7 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.09 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 7.3 | 0.14 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.17 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.22 |
|
|
61% | 1 point | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.28 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.31 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.