Port Adelaide v Hawthorn
Adelaide Oval
18.13
121
14.7
91
Port Adelaide won by 30 points
IN
Cochrane
Boak
Byrne-Jones
Evans
OUT
IN
Worpel
Day
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 44.7 | -0.50 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.44 |
|
|
76% | 25 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
73% | 20 points | ✗ | 50.3 | -0.89 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 50.4 | -0.77 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 48.5 | -0.75 |
|
|
69% | 12 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 46.4 | -0.66 |
|
Punters
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 45.8 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 45.9 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
65% | 11 points | ✗ | 41.2 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 42.2 | -0.51 |
|
|
63% | 9 points | ✗ | 39.4 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 40.8 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 9 points | ✗ | 39.5 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 38.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 38.9 | -0.32 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 37.1 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 17 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 36.6 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✗ | 33.8 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 26.8 | 0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.