North Melbourne v Gold Coast
2025-04-12 12:35:00 +10:00
Barossa Park

13.11

89

21.15

141

Gold Coast won by 52 points

IN

O'Sullivan

Duursma

Fisher

Scott

Hansen Jr

Whitlock

OUT

IN

Holman

Budarick

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		77%	28 points	✓	24.4	0.62
Aggregate		78%	28 points	✓	24.3	0.63
		95%	48 points	✓	4.0	0.93
		86%	37 points	✓	15.5	0.79
		84%	31 points	✓	20.5	0.74
		84%	33 points	✓	19.0	0.74
		83%	36 points	✓	16.0	0.74
		83%	29 points	✓	22.7	0.73
		82%	32 points	✓	19.5	0.72
		82%	33 points	✓	19.0	0.71
		81%	32 points	✓	20.3	0.69
		81%	28 points	✓	24.0	0.69
		81%	31 points	✓	21.2	0.69
		80%	30 points	✓	21.9	0.67
		78%	27 points	✓	25.2	0.64
Punters		78%	26 points	✓	26.4	0.64
		77%	29 points	✓	22.8	0.62
		77%	37 points	✓	15.0	0.62
		76%	30 points	✓	22.0	0.60
		76%	24 points	✓	28.1	0.59
		75%	27 points	✓	24.9	0.59
		74%	19 points	✓	33.0	0.56
		72%	23 points	✓	29.0	0.53
		72%	22 points	✓	30.5	0.52
		71%	23 points	✓	29.0	0.51
		68%	11 points	✓	40.5	0.45
		66%	15 points	✓	37.0	0.39
		57%	7 points	✓	44.6	0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.