St Kilda v Greater Western Sydney
2025-04-13 15:20:00 +10:00
Norwood Oval

12.10

82

16.14

110

Greater Western Sydney won by 28 points

IN

Steele

Keeler

OUT

IN

McMullin

Thomas

Daniels

O'Halloran

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		53%	2 points	✓	26.4	0.08
Aggregate		56%	5 points	✓	22.7	0.17
		72%	17 points	✓	10.8	0.53
		65%	13 points	✓	14.7	0.38
		65%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.38
		63%	11 points	✓	17.0	0.33
Punters		63%	12 points	✓	16.0	0.33
		62%	11 points	✓	17.1	0.32
		61%	7 points	✓	21.0	0.30
		61%	11 points	✓	17.0	0.29
		59%	11 points	✓	17.0	0.24
		58%	1 point	✓	27.0	0.21
		58%	6 points	✓	21.7	0.20
		57%	6 points	✓	22.1	0.20
		57%	7 points	✓	21.0	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	22.2	0.18
		57%	6 points	✓	22.1	0.18
		55%	3 points	✓	24.6	0.13
		54%	3 points	✓	25.3	0.12
		53%	3 points	✓	24.7	0.09
		53%	2 points	✓	26.0	0.07
		53%	3 points	✓	25.5	0.07
		52%	2 points	✓	26.3	0.05
		50%	0 points	✓	27.8	0.01
		50%	0 points	✗	28.4	0.00
		50%	0 points	✗	28.2	-0.01
		55%	5 points	✗	33.0	-0.15
		63%	12 points	✗	40.1	-0.41

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.