Carlton v West Coast
2025-04-12 13:20:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

17.19

121

6.14

50

Carlton won by 71 points

IN

Carroll

Durdin

Cottrell

McKay

Acres

Young

Cowan

Moir

OUT

IN

Hutchinson

Edwards

Ryan

Waterman

Kelly

Cole

Brockman

Long

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		82%	34 points	✓	37.0	0.72
Aggregate		83%	35 points	✓	36.2	0.73
		95%	53 points	✓	18.0	0.93
		92%	42 points	✓	29.3	0.88
		91%	44 points	✓	26.6	0.86
		90%	46 points	✓	24.8	0.84
		89%	38 points	✓	32.6	0.84
Punters		88%	41 points	✓	29.8	0.82
		88%	42 points	✓	28.6	0.82
		88%	45 points	✓	25.6	0.81
		87%	37 points	✓	34.5	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	32.0	0.78
		86%	34 points	✓	36.5	0.78
		86%	40 points	✓	31.1	0.78
		85%	38 points	✓	33.0	0.77
		83%	40 points	✓	31.0	0.73
		82%	37 points	✓	33.9	0.72
		82%	36 points	✓	35.0	0.71
		81%	30 points	✓	40.8	0.69
		79%	40 points	✓	31.0	0.67
		79%	20 points	✓	51.0	0.66
		78%	27 points	✓	43.6	0.64
		78%	28 points	✓	42.7	0.64
		78%	20 points	✓	50.8	0.64
		75%	21 points	✓	50.0	0.58
		74%	28 points	✓	43.1	0.57
		69%	21 points	✓	50.0	0.47
		64%	14 points	✓	56.7	0.35

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.