Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Lions
2025-04-12 16:15:00 +10:00
Norwood Oval

14.13

97

18.10

118

Brisbane Lions won by 21 points

IN

Hynes

Cleary

Johannisen

Vandermeer

Baker

Gallagher

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		59%	9 points	✓	12.3	0.23
Aggregate		58%	8 points	✓	13.4	0.22
		73%	19 points	✓	2.0	0.55
		71%	23 points	✓	2.0	0.51
		68%	18 points	✓	3.0	0.44
		66%	12 points	✓	8.5	0.41
		64%	12 points	✓	8.9	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	8.6	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	7.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	8.9	0.35
Punters		62%	12 points	✓	9.1	0.31
		61%	14 points	✓	7.0	0.28
		58%	8 points	✓	13.3	0.21
		56%	5 points	✓	16.1	0.17
		56%	6 points	✓	15.4	0.15
		55%	4 points	✓	17.0	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	17.0	0.13
		55%	5 points	✓	16.5	0.13
		54%	3 points	✓	18.3	0.10
		53%	3 points	✓	18.0	0.09
		53%	3 points	✓	18.5	0.07
		52%	2 points	✓	19.5	0.06
		52%	2 points	✓	19.2	0.06
		52%	3 points	✓	18.0	0.05
		51%	1 point	✓	20.2	0.03
		51%	3 points	✓	18.4	0.03
		50%	0 points	✓	20.7	0.01
		50%	0 points	✓	20.8	0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.