Adelaide v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
15.10
100
18.11
119
Geelong won by 19 points
IN
Taylor
Crouch
Murphy
Borlase
OUT
IN
Knevitt
Blicavs
Stewart
Henry
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✗ | 19.4 | -0.05 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.3 | -0.15 |
|
|
67% | 17 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -0.60 |
|
Punters
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 33.2 | -0.60 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 31.4 | -0.48 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✗ | 25.6 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 28.9 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 28.9 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 13 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 25.1 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 24.9 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 23.8 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.5 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 21.9 | -0.10 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 9 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.2 | 0.03 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.1 | 0.11 |
|
|
57% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.