Collingwood v Sydney
Adelaide Oval
16.13
109
12.6
78
Collingwood won by 31 points
IN
Allan
Sullivan
Hoskin-Elliott
Houston
De Goey
Schultz
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 27.3 | 0.15 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 28.3 | 0.09 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 19.1 | 0.34 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 19.3 | 0.34 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 19.7 | 0.34 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 19.6 | 0.34 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 24.1 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 25.2 | 0.21 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✓ | 25.6 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 26.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 26.9 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 26.4 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 8 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 28.8 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✓ | 27.5 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 29.8 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 32.1 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 9 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 32.8 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 34.4 | -0.10 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.25 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.