West Coast v Brisbane Lions
2024-07-14 16:40:00 +10:00
Perth Stadium

14.9

93

16.10

106

Brisbane Lions won by 13 points

IN

Trew

Edwards

Edwards

Cole

McGovern

Darling

Chesser

Rotham

OUT

IN

Brain

Joyce

Wilmot

Payne

Starcevich

Fletcher

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		81%	33 points	✓	19.8	0.70
Aggregate		83%	35 points	✓	22.1	0.73
		95%	56 points	✓	43.0	0.93
		93%	45 points	✓	32.4	0.89
		91%	41 points	✓	27.6	0.86
		89%	41 points	✓	27.5	0.82
		87%	41 points	✓	28.0	0.80
		87%	39 points	✓	26.4	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	26.0	0.78
		85%	34 points	✓	20.7	0.77
		85%	34 points	✓	20.8	0.77
		85%	42 points	✓	28.9	0.76
		85%	37 points	✓	24.4	0.76
		84%	35 points	✓	21.7	0.75
		84%	35 points	✓	22.4	0.74
		83%	35 points	✓	21.8	0.74
Punters		83%	34 points	✓	21.1	0.73
		83%	37 points	✓	24.0	0.73
		83%	33 points	✓	20.0	0.72
		82%	46 points	✓	33.0	0.71
		81%	33 points	✓	20.0	0.70
		81%	31 points	✓	17.5	0.70
		81%	44 points	✓	31.0	0.69
		80%	29 points	✓	15.7	0.67
		80%	28 points	✓	15.0	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	14.6	0.65
		78%	26 points	✓	13.0	0.64
		78%	19 points	✓	5.8	0.64
		76%	29 points	✓	16.2	0.61
		63%	13 points	✓	0.2	0.33

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.