Adelaide v St Kilda
2024-07-13 19:30:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

10.11

71

5.9

39

Adelaide won by 32 points

IN

Bond

Thilthorpe

Smith

Rankine

Hinge

Nankervis

OUT

IN

Jones

Bonner

Hill

Windhager

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		63%	12 points	✓	19.6	0.33
Aggregate		62%	11 points	✓	20.8	0.32
		71%	19 points	✓	12.8	0.51
		69%	18 points	✓	13.9	0.47
		67%	14 points	✓	17.7	0.43
		67%	16 points	✓	16.0	0.42
		67%	20 points	✓	12.0	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	17.9	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	17.6	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	20.0	0.37
		64%	12 points	✓	20.0	0.36
		64%	19 points	✓	13.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	19.6	0.36
		64%	9 points	✓	23.5	0.34
Punters		63%	10 points	✓	21.8	0.34
		63%	8 points	✓	24.3	0.34
		63%	13 points	✓	18.7	0.33
		62%	9 points	✓	23.1	0.32
		62%	9 points	✓	23.0	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	21.9	0.30
		61%	9 points	✓	22.8	0.29
		61%	11 points	✓	21.0	0.29
		60%	14 points	✓	18.0	0.26
		59%	10 points	✓	22.5	0.25
		59%	3 points	✓	28.8	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	25.2	0.22
		56%	6 points	✓	26.0	0.17
		56%	6 points	✓	26.0	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	27.0	0.16
		55%	4 points	✓	27.6	0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.