Collingwood v Geelong
M.C.G.
10.11
71
13.13
91
Geelong won by 20 points
IN
McInnes
Harrison
Noble
Elliott
Howe
Mihocek
Dean
Richards
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.9 | 0.04 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 19.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 14.3 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.1 | 0.17 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 14.4 | 0.15 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 17.1 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 18.7 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 3 points | ✓ | 17.2 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 19.9 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 20.4 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 21.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 11 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.7 | -0.09 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 23.5 | -0.12 |
|
|
55% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.8 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.6 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.1 | -0.15 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 28.4 | -0.34 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.