Richmond v Greater Western Sydney
2024-07-14 15:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

12.12

84

17.6

108

Greater Western Sydney won by 24 points

IN

Green

Trezise

Ryan

Prestia

Sonsie

Campbell

McAuliffe

Blight

OUT

IN

Jones

Ash

Callaghan

Aleer

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		70%	19 points	✓	5.0	0.48
Aggregate		72%	21 points	✓	3.4	0.52
		87%	31 points	✓	6.7	0.80
		83%	34 points	✓	10.0	0.73
		82%	27 points	✓	3.2	0.72
		79%	30 points	✓	6.0	0.66
		77%	24 points	✓	0.5	0.61
		76%	25 points	✓	0.9	0.60
Punters		76%	24 points	✓	0.4	0.60
		76%	27 points	✓	3.0	0.60
		74%	21 points	✓	3.0	0.57
		74%	21 points	✓	3.5	0.56
		74%	19 points	✓	5.0	0.56
		73%	21 points	✓	3.0	0.55
		73%	25 points	✓	1.0	0.55
		72%	19 points	✓	5.0	0.53
		72%	24 points	✓	0.2	0.53
		72%	19 points	✓	5.0	0.52
		70%	17 points	✓	7.2	0.48
		69%	18 points	✓	6.1	0.47
		69%	26 points	✓	2.0	0.47
		69%	24 points	✓	0.0	0.45
		68%	12 points	✓	12.1	0.45
		68%	19 points	✓	4.6	0.45
		67%	15 points	✓	9.1	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	8.9	0.40
		65%	14 points	✓	9.7	0.38
		64%	13 points	✓	11.4	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	13.0	0.35
		55%	5 points	✓	18.8	0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.