Gold Coast v Port Adelaide
Carrara
14.12
96
12.10
82
Gold Coast won by 14 points
IN
Budarick
Walter
Johnston
Graham
Davies
Miller
Swallow
Sexton
Berry
Day
OUT
IN
Dixon
Georgiades
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.1 | 0.04 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 3.3 | 0.36 |
|
|
62% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.8 | 0.30 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.3 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.3 | 0.22 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 8.4 | 0.17 |
|
|
55% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.3 | 0.13 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.5 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 14.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 14.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 15.4 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | -1 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 18.3 | -0.16 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 21.6 | -0.27 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 23.3 | -0.35 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 25.1 | -0.43 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.