Hawthorn v Fremantle
York Park
13.9
87
10.14
74
Hawthorn won by 13 points
IN
Dear
Ward
Macdonald
Sicily
Breust
Gunston
Lewis
Mitchell
OUT
IN
Voss
Darcy
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 10.7 | 0.09 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 13.9 | -0.02 |
|
|
62% | 5 points | ✗ | 18.4 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 19.5 | -0.27 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 16.8 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 16.6 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 16.3 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 15.4 | -0.07 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 15.5 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✗ | 14.7 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 12.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.1 | 0.03 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 10.1 | 0.09 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 10.5 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 9.4 | 0.12 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.21 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.40 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.40 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.