Western Bulldogs v Carlton
Docklands
14.16
100
12.14
86
Western Bulldogs won by 14 points
IN
Poulter
McNeil
Garcia
Weightman
Treloar
Naughton
West
O'Donnell
OUT
IN
Marchbank
Pittonet
McGovern
Williams
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 21.1 | -0.22 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 19.9 | -0.20 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 31.7 | -0.73 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 27.1 | -0.59 |
|
|
67% | 10 points | ✗ | 24.3 | -0.58 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.46 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 26.3 | -0.40 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 24.9 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 14 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 22.9 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 22.2 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 21.4 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | -1 points | ✗ | 13.1 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 14.7 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 14.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✗ | 15.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 8.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 8.2 | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.