Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast
2024-05-05 19:10:00 +10:00
Gabba

10.19

79

6.9

45

Brisbane Lions won by 34 points

IN

Reville

Sharp

Wilmot

McInerney

Ah Chee

Fort

Answerth

Tunstill

OUT

IN

Read

Long

Humphrey

Day

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		63%	13 points	✓	21.4	0.34
Aggregate		62%	11 points	✓	22.7	0.32
		74%	19 points	✓	14.7	0.57
		69%	14 points	✓	20.5	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	18.0	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	18.1	0.43
		67%	14 points	✓	20.0	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	18.9	0.42
Punters		66%	13 points	✓	21.5	0.40
		65%	13 points	✓	21.0	0.38
		65%	19 points	✓	15.0	0.37
		64%	13 points	✓	21.2	0.37
		64%	14 points	✓	20.0	0.36
		64%	8 points	✓	26.0	0.36
		63%	18 points	✓	16.0	0.33
		62%	10 points	✓	24.1	0.32
		62%	13 points	✓	21.0	0.31
		62%	15 points	✓	19.0	0.31
		62%	9 points	✓	24.9	0.30
		61%	8 points	✓	25.8	0.29
		60%	10 points	✓	24.0	0.27
		60%	10 points	✓	23.7	0.26
		60%	11 points	✓	22.7	0.25
		59%	6 points	✓	28.0	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	25.0	0.24
		58%	8 points	✓	26.1	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	28.4	0.18
		56%	5 points	✓	29.0	0.16
		52%	2 points	✓	32.0	0.07
		52%	4 points	✓	30.4	0.05

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.