Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn
Docklands
14.7
91
14.14
98
Hawthorn won by 7 points
IN
Baker
Ugle-Hagan
Liberatore
Daniel
Lobb
Weightman
OUT
IN
Dear
Watson
D'Ambrosio
Ward
Macdonald
Chol
Gunston
Mitchell
Serong
Ramsden
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 28.1 | -0.79 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -0.84 |
|
|
82% | 29 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -1.43 |
|
|
80% | 21 points | ✗ | 28.3 | -1.29 |
|
|
79% | 34 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -1.28 |
|
Punters
|
|
79% | 26 points | ✗ | 32.6 | -1.25 |
|
|
75% | 25 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -1.00 |
|
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 28.3 | -0.98 |
|
|
74% | 16 points | ✗ | 22.7 | -0.96 |
|
|
74% | 20 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.95 |
|
|
74% | 26 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
74% | 20 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
73% | 19 points | ✗ | 26.3 | -0.91 |
|
|
73% | 30 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.89 |
|
|
73% | 29 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.89 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 26.6 | -0.81 |
|
|
71% | 28 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
71% | 16 points | ✗ | 23.1 | -0.76 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 25.7 | -0.76 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 24.9 | -0.76 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 25.8 | -0.72 |
|
|
69% | 21 points | ✗ | 28.1 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 24.3 | -0.69 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.65 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 21.1 | -0.60 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 19.9 | -0.51 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 18.8 | -0.38 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.