West Coast v Essendon
2024-05-04 20:10:00 +10:00
Perth Stadium

11.5

71

11.11

77

Essendon won by 6 points

IN

Johnston

Reid

Long

Ginbey

Barrass

Hunt

Brockman

Edwards

Maric

Williams

OUT

IN

Perkins

Goldstein

Draper

Hind

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		64%	14 points	✓	7.7	0.36
Aggregate		62%	11 points	✓	5.5	0.31
		76%	21 points	✓	15.1	0.61
		71%	19 points	✓	13.4	0.52
		71%	19 points	✓	13.0	0.51
		70%	21 points	✓	15.0	0.49
		68%	24 points	✓	18.0	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	9.0	0.44
		67%	14 points	✓	7.5	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	6.9	0.40
Punters		66%	15 points	✓	8.7	0.40
		66%	21 points	✓	15.0	0.39
		65%	16 points	✓	10.0	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	5.9	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	8.1	0.35
		63%	12 points	✓	5.5	0.34
		63%	19 points	✓	13.0	0.33
		62%	10 points	✓	4.5	0.31
		61%	10 points	✓	4.1	0.30
		60%	8 points	✓	2.4	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	1.8	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	2.9	0.24
		59%	8 points	✓	1.7	0.23
		57%	6 points	✓	0.0	0.19
		54%	5 points	✓	1.1	0.10
		52%	1 point	✓	5.0	0.06
		51%	1 point	✓	4.8	0.03
		50%	2 points	✓	4.2	0.00
		50%	0 points	✗	6.0	-0.01
		52%	1 point	✗	7.0	-0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.