Carlton v Collingwood
M.C.G.
12.7
79
12.13
85
Collingwood won by 6 points
IN
Fantasia
Cincotta
Owies
Cerra
Kemp
Hollands
Carroll
Binns
OUT
IN
Sullivan
Markov
De Goey
Mitchell
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 13.7 | -0.27 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 11.2 | -0.19 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 21.1 | -0.55 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 19.8 | -0.55 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 15.8 | -0.43 |
|
Punters
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 16.8 | -0.43 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.7 | -0.35 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 15.7 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 14 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 14.3 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 12.2 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 11.7 | -0.21 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.8 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.3 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✗ | 10.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 7.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 9 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.